Portfolio
Analysis of demand-side forces on the price of copper
Copper has long been a ubiquitous material across a wide range of industrial and technological applications. Over the past 35 years, copper prices have exhibited substantial volatility, with particularly pronounced fluctuations during periods of financial crisis. This paper investigates the demand-side drivers of copper price movements using statistical and econometric methods, with the goal of identifying the underlying causal mechanisms influencing price dynamics.
Corruption's impact on inflation: Lebanese Banking Crisis
In 2019, Lebanon experienced one of the most severe financial crises in modern history, shaking the foundations of its economy. At the heart of the collapse was a scheme orchestrated by the Lebanese Central Bank to artificially inflate its foreign currency reserves—an approach that unraveled in a spectacular, Ponzi-like fashion. Rampant corruption played a central role, as those in power prioritized short-term personal gain over the long-term stability of the nation’s financial institutions. This paper explores the Lebanese banking crisis as a case study to examine the broader relationship between systemic corruption and inflationary pressures.
